With the maturity of various new energy development and utilization technologies in China, the diversified pattern of the new energy and clean energy automobile market has gradually taken shape. Recently, China's hydrogen energy and fuel cell industry innovation strategic alliance was formally established to promote the development of hydrogen fuel cell vehicle industry; the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology also organized a symposium on the pilot project of methanol vehicles to discuss the promotion and application policies of methanol vehicles. On February 13, the State Grain Administration also issued the "Key Points of Grain Circulation Work in 2018", demanding the expansion of biofuel ethanol production and consumption, and efforts to broaden the channels of digestion. On the same day, the Ministry of Finance and other departments issued a notice proposing to further improve the energy density threshold requirements for pure electric passenger cars, non-fast charge class pure electric buses, and special vehicle power battery systems, and encourage high-performance power battery applications. In the industry's view, with the “multi-pronged approach†of hydrogen fuel cells, methanol and ethanol, the era of diversification of new energy and clean energy vehicle energy supply is coming.
More policy
With the development of low-carbon, electric and intelligent development of automobiles in the future, the retreat of fuel vehicles has become inevitable. In September last year, Xin Guobin, deputy minister of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, revealed that China is in the process of setting a timetable for stopping the production and sale of traditional energy vehicles. In sharp contrast, the development of new energy and clean energy automotive industries is just the right time.
According to industry experts, new energy vehicles usually use unconventional vehicle fuel as a power source, including pure electric vehicles and extended-range electric vehicles. Clean energy vehicles are collectively referred to as environmentally friendly vehicles that replace traditional gasoline with clean fuels, including natural gas vehicles, methanol vehicles, and ethanol vehicles.
Taking hydrogen fuel cell vehicles as an example, in the field of vehicle energy, hydrogen fuel cells are considered to be an important technical solution for achieving zero emissions and low life cycle emissions in the vehicle use phase. Since 2011, China has issued a series of policies to guide and encourage the development of hydrogen energy industry including hydrogen fuel cells. Miao Wei, Minister of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, revealed that China will also select areas where the government has enthusiasm, hydrogen energy and fuel cell industry bases, and carry out pilot demonstrations of promotion and application. Commercial vehicles can be used as breakthroughs in advance, and the fuel cell automobile industry can be opened through a certain scale of application. Chain and hydrogen energy supply chains explore low-cost business operations.
In contrast, the pilot work of methanol vehicles has progressed to new time nodes. Since 2012, 10 cities in China have carried out pilot work. More than two years ago, the relevant departments started the acceptance of the pilot. In January of this year, the pilot project of methanol in Guiyang, Guizhou Province officially passed the acceptance of experts organized by the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments, and accumulated more than 2,000 methanol vehicles, accounting for 70% of the national methanol vehicle pilot vehicles; completed the construction and renovation of seven filling stations. , accounting for 1/3 of the national methanol fuel filling station. It is understood that the recycling technology for the synthesis of methanol from hydrogen produced by electrolyzed water has been industrialized, laying the foundation for the expansion of methanol vehicles. As of the end of last year, China's methanol production capacity reached 85.2 million tons, a large amount of methanol production capacity. To be digested.
Unevenly hot and cold on the market side
The new direction has emerged in an endless stream, and the reaction at the market has experienced uneven heat and cold.
"Compared with other clean energy vehicles, China's research and development and promotion of methanol vehicles is relatively early," said Jia Xinguang, an auto analyst. According to incomplete statistics, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has distributed a total of 13 methanol automobile production enterprises and 23 methanol automobile products announcements. The products basically form a series of vehicles with different uses such as cars, heavy commercial vehicles, mini vehicles and city buses.
At the market level, as early as 2006, Geely developed the first generation of methanol vehicles. In July 2015, Geely acquired a portion of the equity interest in Icelandic Carbon Recycling International (CRI) for $45.5 million. The company's northernmost company, born in 2006, is mainly engaged in the production of clean methanol fuel. In the statement, Geely said in the statement that it hopes to cooperate with CRI and develop and promote the use of 100% methanol fuel vehicles in China, Iceland and other parts of the world.
In contrast, hydrogen energy fuel cell vehicles seem to be relatively late in China. Last week, Dongfeng Special Commercial Vehicle Co., Ltd. signed a tripartite cooperation framework agreement with Yunfu Municipal People's Government of Guangdong Province and Foshan counterpart to help Yunfu Command. The three parties will set up a South China production base for commercial vehicles of Dongfeng Special Commercial Hydrogen Fuel Cell in Yunfu City. Specifically, Dongfeng Special Commercial Hydrogen Fuel Cell Commercial Vehicle South China Production Base plans to build a new energy commercial vehicle production line with an annual production capacity of 5,000 vehicles. The first phase will form 2,000 production capacity, which will be completed before 2020. The second phase will be based on market expansion and development. There is a need to further expand the area of ​​cooperation. However, in addition to this, at this stage, there is relatively little news about the development of such vehicles by Chinese car companies.
Some insiders are blunt, because hydrogen fuel cell vehicles are too expensive and the battery life is relatively short, and the safety hazards of hydrogen storage tanks are difficult to be effectively solved, etc., hydrogen energy is fully popularized on commercial vehicles at least after 2025. Many experts also put the popularity and promotion of such models to a longer period of time. Fu Yuwu, chairman of the China Automotive Engineering Society, said that by 2030, China's hydrogen energy automobile industry output value is expected to exceed the trillion yuan mark.
Apply "adapt to local conditions"
The traditional fuel vehicle has already determined the goal of comprehensive delisting, so what kind of automobile consumer market will new energy and clean energy vehicles build for China in the future?
After the traditional decommissioning of traditional fuel vehicles, the main types of new energy vehicles developed throughout the country will depend on local energy supply structure to adapt to local conditions. An industry insider who does not want to be named pointed out that the southwestern region has abundant natural gas reserves and has always been a western gas. It is an important source of oil and gas in the east, so it is very suitable for the development of clean energy vehicles powered by LNG and other energy sources. The corn production in Northeast China accounts for more than 80% of the country, which can provide rich raw materials for ethanol gasoline production and have a basic focus on developing ethanol vehicles. Specific to Beijing, due to the relative lack of energy, and stricter attitude towards air pollution control, it is more suitable for pure electric vehicles or fuel cell vehicles with the highest degree of cleanliness.
The above-mentioned insiders told the Beijing Business Daily that at present, new energy and clean energy vehicles are useful supplements to the entire market. With the development of technology, it will not be a problem to replace traditional fuel vehicles in the future, "but the sale of fuel vehicles is prohibited." The timetable should be synchronized with the development of new energy and clean energy technologies. It takes a certain amount of time for new technologies, new products to be promoted and accepted."
As far as the current market situation is concerned, new energy vehicles are being accepted by more and more consumers. According to the prediction of the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, the sales of new energy vehicles are expected to achieve a growth rate of 37% this year, with a growth rate of one million. There are still many people in the automotive industry who regard this year as an important window for the development of new energy vehicles in China. It is expected that the scale of production and sales will exceed 1 million. In terms of policy support, Liu Xiaoming, deputy director of the Ministry of Communications, publicly stated that in order to control vehicle exhaust emissions, China will further accelerate the renewal and elimination of old and high-energy, high-emission operating vehicles, and promote the application of energy-efficient and environmentally-friendly transportation equipment. Encourage the use of clean energy vehicles in areas such as urban public transport, taxis, and logistics and distribution vehicles. By 2020, the number of vehicles with new energy in the transportation industry will reach 600,000.
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