With the substantial expansion of domestic production capacity, by the end of 2007, the annual production capacity of aniline in China will reach 1.5 million tons, ranking first in the world. However, the development speed of downstream accessory products cannot be followed up effectively, resulting in a long time cost of aniline this year. Even loss. The current market price is running at 10,300 to 10,500 yuan (t price, the same below), and the price of individual companies has even fallen below 10,000 yuan, and the implementation has reached 9900 yuan, which is close to the cost of production. In order to solve the thorny issue of the industry's rapid development, people in the industry are constantly seeking measures and methods to solve the serious imbalance between supply and demand in the future. This is also the main purpose of frequent high-level forums held in the industry. Looking at the world, paying attention to the international market and accelerating the pace of expanding the international market have become the consensus of the industry.
A serious excess of domestic market Aniline production capacity has been further expanded this year. According to statistics, the capacity to achieve production has reached nearly 1.5 million tons, an increase of nearly 500,000 tons from last year, and the growth rate has reached 50%, which is the fastest growth rate in recent years. For example, Jilin Cornell's 300,000-ton/year aniline plant (150,000 tons/year for the first phase is ready for production in the near term), Jiangsu Anbang Electrochemical (50,000 tons/year), Yancheng Yuanquan (60,000 tons/year), Shandong Haihua (50,000 tons/year) has already had the driving conditions. Although the downstream supporting products such as MDI, cyclohexylamine, auxiliaries, dyes, etc., have been planned in major aniline production enterprises, few companies have been established, and the progress of supporting enterprises is also very slow. Aniline is still the main commodity. Sale, the formation of a serious excess of the domestic market
There is still space in the international market However, there is still room in the international market. Foreign aniline production companies are mainly distributed in the United States, Japan, Korea, Germany (iron powder process), India and so on. In the production process, domestic and foreign production companies are different, many foreign companies (such as the United States, Japan, etc.) are using phenol ammonia solution to take aniline. According to the trend of the international market this year, the price of phenol is basically running at a high level. The current phenol CFR price in China to the main port of China amounts to US$1,575 and the high price amounts to US$1,650, which results in the high cost of aniline production. In addition, strengthening the management of environmental pollution in foreign countries and the implementation of the EU REACH regulations have a direct impact on the operating rate of foreign aniline enterprises. All these give our domestic production companies a good market opportunity. In the face of a vast export space, companies need to make greater efforts to open up foreign markets in order to reduce domestic pressure.
Export companies are weak in the north and strong in the south. At present, the aniline export enterprises are mainly concentrated in the southern regions, such as Sinopec Nanhua, Taixing Xinpu, and Jiangyin Shuangliang, forming a situation of “weakening in the north and strong in the southâ€. The main factors contributing to this situation are the deep foundation of the South and the large number of ports. The international transportation system is relatively standardized and complete. It has advantages in transportation, and the export market is relatively stable. Enterprises in the region have entered the international market earlier, and foreign-funded enterprises are mostly located in the Jiangsu and Zhejiang regions. The imports and exports of aniline and upstream pure benzene, downstream MDI, dyestuffs and other products all show their advantages in resources and the export market is stable. The northern foundation is relatively weak, and new aniline plants are almost all projects in the past two years. , The market resources are relatively small, coupled with the lack of awareness of the export of production enterprises in the northern regions.
The international market should be vigorously expanded. Based on the current status of the industry, domestic companies are advised to maintain the order in the domestic market, maintain the coordination of the markets in the north and the south, avoid regional competition intensification, establish regional communication mechanisms, and ensure the stability of the domestic market, and vigorously expand the international market. market. Focus on the following tasks: First, actively seek the expansion of the international market, the southern region should continue to increase market development efforts, the northern region should strengthen the awareness of exports, to strengthen their own business capabilities, and develop effective resources to make efforts; Second, Adjust the proportional relationship between domestic supply and export share, balance the overall market demand, and implement the company's production and sales coordination policies. Third, proceed from the overall interests of the industry and the long-term interests of the company, standardize the export market operation system, and establish an effective management organization. Seek stability in the future market and long-term stability of the industry.
A serious excess of domestic market Aniline production capacity has been further expanded this year. According to statistics, the capacity to achieve production has reached nearly 1.5 million tons, an increase of nearly 500,000 tons from last year, and the growth rate has reached 50%, which is the fastest growth rate in recent years. For example, Jilin Cornell's 300,000-ton/year aniline plant (150,000 tons/year for the first phase is ready for production in the near term), Jiangsu Anbang Electrochemical (50,000 tons/year), Yancheng Yuanquan (60,000 tons/year), Shandong Haihua (50,000 tons/year) has already had the driving conditions. Although the downstream supporting products such as MDI, cyclohexylamine, auxiliaries, dyes, etc., have been planned in major aniline production enterprises, few companies have been established, and the progress of supporting enterprises is also very slow. Aniline is still the main commodity. Sale, the formation of a serious excess of the domestic market
There is still space in the international market However, there is still room in the international market. Foreign aniline production companies are mainly distributed in the United States, Japan, Korea, Germany (iron powder process), India and so on. In the production process, domestic and foreign production companies are different, many foreign companies (such as the United States, Japan, etc.) are using phenol ammonia solution to take aniline. According to the trend of the international market this year, the price of phenol is basically running at a high level. The current phenol CFR price in China to the main port of China amounts to US$1,575 and the high price amounts to US$1,650, which results in the high cost of aniline production. In addition, strengthening the management of environmental pollution in foreign countries and the implementation of the EU REACH regulations have a direct impact on the operating rate of foreign aniline enterprises. All these give our domestic production companies a good market opportunity. In the face of a vast export space, companies need to make greater efforts to open up foreign markets in order to reduce domestic pressure.
Export companies are weak in the north and strong in the south. At present, the aniline export enterprises are mainly concentrated in the southern regions, such as Sinopec Nanhua, Taixing Xinpu, and Jiangyin Shuangliang, forming a situation of “weakening in the north and strong in the southâ€. The main factors contributing to this situation are the deep foundation of the South and the large number of ports. The international transportation system is relatively standardized and complete. It has advantages in transportation, and the export market is relatively stable. Enterprises in the region have entered the international market earlier, and foreign-funded enterprises are mostly located in the Jiangsu and Zhejiang regions. The imports and exports of aniline and upstream pure benzene, downstream MDI, dyestuffs and other products all show their advantages in resources and the export market is stable. The northern foundation is relatively weak, and new aniline plants are almost all projects in the past two years. , The market resources are relatively small, coupled with the lack of awareness of the export of production enterprises in the northern regions.
The international market should be vigorously expanded. Based on the current status of the industry, domestic companies are advised to maintain the order in the domestic market, maintain the coordination of the markets in the north and the south, avoid regional competition intensification, establish regional communication mechanisms, and ensure the stability of the domestic market, and vigorously expand the international market. market. Focus on the following tasks: First, actively seek the expansion of the international market, the southern region should continue to increase market development efforts, the northern region should strengthen the awareness of exports, to strengthen their own business capabilities, and develop effective resources to make efforts; Second, Adjust the proportional relationship between domestic supply and export share, balance the overall market demand, and implement the company's production and sales coordination policies. Third, proceed from the overall interests of the industry and the long-term interests of the company, standardize the export market operation system, and establish an effective management organization. Seek stability in the future market and long-term stability of the industry.
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